In a little more than 48 hours we will start seeing election results. (Actually,
Here are the poll closure times. All times are Eastern Standard Time. In the case of states that span two time zones, we list the earliest closure time, but please note the following notations. * means the majority of the state polls close at the listed hour. ^ means the majority of polls close one hour later than the listed time.
Here’s what to look for.
The hour brings in two bellwether states,
In short, we will know relatively early in the evening whether this is gonna be an Obama blowout. Fivethirtyeight.com lists Obama’s chance of a landslide electoral college victory at 29.28 percent. McCain’s chances are 0.01 percent.
McCain has just not closed the gap. In the last three days, Obama’s RCP national average has gone from 5.9% to 6.9%. McCain’s state numbers are mixed. Here are the RCP averages for a number of battleground states. All of these states were won (we use the term loosely for
The numbers in these states are relatively close, but Obama has consistently lead in all of these Bush states. It is not good enough for McCain to pick off one or two, he must win them all, because Obama already has close to 270 electoral votes locked up without the swing states listed above.