Tuesday, October 21, 2008

Two Weeks.... and counting


Two weeks to go and things haven’t picked up for McCain. The Joe the Plumber strategy is just more “preaching to the choir.” Joe may soon have his own show on Fox News. I believe he has already moved into the Fox News studio. Joe’s economics lessons have helped simpletons throughout the nation (Palin included) to realize that Obama is a “socialist.”

Here’s a redefinition of our categories. Safe is defined as an average poll lead of 10.0 points or more, Solid is a poll average of 5.0 points to 9.9 points, and Leaning is defined as 3.0 to 4.9 point average lead. Toss Up states are defined as a state which either candidate leads by less than a 3.0 poll average. For those of you not as electorally savvy as Buzz or me, the magic number is 270 electoral votes.

Our 2008 Presidential Election Prediction, where we will pick both the electoral vote total and the popular vote total, is at the end of the article.

Safe Obama (239)

California (55), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), District of Columbia (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (21), Iowa (7), Maine (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (12), Michigan (17), New Hampshire (4), New Jersey (15), New York (31), Oregon (7), Pennsylvania (21), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Washington (11),

Solid Obama (38)

Minnesota (10), New Mexico (5), Virginia (13), Wisconsin (10).

Leaning Obama (14)

Colorado (9), Nevada (5),

Safe McCain (137)

Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arizona (10), Arkansas (6), Idaho (4), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (9), Mississippi (6), Nebraska (5), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (8), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (34), Utah (5), Wyoming (3).

Solid McCain (18)

Georgia (15), Montana (3),

Leaning McCain (11)

Indiana (11).

Toss Up (81)

Florida (27), Missouri (11), North Carolina (15), North Dakota (3), Ohio (20), West Virginia (5).

Solid Obama and Safe Obama (277) Solid and Safe McCain (155)

Obama with Leaners (291) McCain with Leaners (166)


Now here’s the two week out prediction Obama 364 electoral votes, McCain 174 electoral votes. Our prediction on the popular vote is Obama 53 percent, McCain 46 percent,

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